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These 6 stocks are seeing major sentiment shifts - Are you watching them?

AlphaPro Editorial4 min read

These 6 stocks are seeing major sentiment shifts - Are you watching them?

What's inside this week's Sentiment Wrap?

  • 6 stocks with the biggest sentiment swings in the last quarter, with their sentiment score vs. price charts.
  • 3 bullish
  • 3 bearish
  • What's causing the seismic mood swings?

Let's find out…

AlphaPro.ai's Sentiment Score condenses hours of earnings call analysis into a single, actionable metric. But to get the best out of the score, compare the swings between quarters.

Over 10 quarters of backtesting data show that a big jump in sentiment is a strong bullish indicator, as supported by subsequent stock price movements. Conversely, a big fall in the sentiment score is most likely to precede negative price action.

This quarter's biggest sentiment shifts will help you find out where the craziest bullish and bearish actions are taking place. Let's take on the bulls first:

Top 3 Bullish Moves in Sentiment

Sentiment score shift: 57 to 87

Sentiment shift vs. price trend: A 30-point shift in sentiment score has triggered an over 40% upmove in the stock to date.

What led to the sentiment shift at TXN? AlphaPro.ai's quick summary:

  • Broad recovery across industrial sectors and geographies, Low customer inventories across all end markets, and strong sequential revenue growth guidance for Q2 2025.

Sentiment score shift: 51 to 72

Sentiment shift vs. price trend: Microchip's 21-point shift has been followed by a nearly 50% upmove in the stock to date.

What led to the sentiment shift at MCHP? AlphaPro.ai's quick summary:

  • Reduction in inventory levels, increased bookings, higher book-to-bill ratio, and a broad-based recovery across various end markets.

Sentiment score shift: 64 to 83

Sentiment shift vs. price trend: Moderna's 19-point increase in sentiment score is followed by an over 10% rise in the stock price.

What led to the sentiment shift at MRNA? AlphaPro.ai's quick summary:

  • Cost reductions of 19% in Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024 across cost of sales, R&D, and SG&A, and expansion of oncology portfolio.

Top 3 Bearish Moves in Sentiment

Sentiment score shift: 84 to 57

Sentiment shift vs. price trend: After snap-on's 27-point sentiment score decline, the stock fell by over 10% in the next few days.

What led to the sentiment shift at SNA? AlphaPro.ai's quick summary:

  • Overall sales declined 2.3% organically, technician confidence remains low, and sales to the military within the C&I segment declined

Sentiment score shift: 84 to 57

Sentiment shift vs. price trend: CHD declined over 7% on the day its sentiment score fell 27 points. Even though the stock has recovered from that low, the bearish sentiment still persists.

What led to the sentiment shift at CHD? AlphaPro.ai's quick summary:

  • Organic sales decreased 1.2% in Q1, the U.S. consumer spending continues to weaken, and the gummy vitamin business continues to be a drag on organic growth.

Sentiment score shift: 81 to 57

Sentiment shift vs. price trend: Within a week before Prologis's 24-point fall in sentiment score, the stock corrected by nearly 20%. This indicates that much of the negative sentiment was already priced in by the market

What led to the sentiment shift at PLD? AlphaPro.ai's quick summary:

  • Uncertainty from global tariffs and their potential impact, Potential for recession, inflation, or both, and a reduction in development start guidance due to lower expectations for spec development.

Conclusion

As you can see in the above stocks, in most cases, the sentiment score acts as a leading indicator for stock price moves. However, a shift in sentiment needs to be studied with previous market moves. Sentiment shift can affect the market price the most when it hasn't yet been priced in. A major swing in sentiment score with no significant price move in the stock? That's probably a great market opportunity.

Act on sentiment score changes, but keep an eye on whether the market has already made a major move before earnings calls. When the market hasn't reacted yet, the edge is all yours.

Hope this helped you spot some early movers. Same time next week? See you then.

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