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NewsletterApril 20, 20265 min readRecord Highs, Weak Breadth, and Rising Risk
The S&P 500 hits a record high led by just 12 stocks, the Shiller CAPE sits at historic highs, energy leads 2026 with 22% gains, and Tesla kicks off the Magnificent Seven earnings season.
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NewsletterApril 6, 20266 min readNervous Thursdays, the $200 Question & HALO Stocks
Oil prints a $200 handle, Microsoft posts its weakest quarter in years on AI margin pressure, and Q1 earnings season opens with sentiment on edge.
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NewsletterMarch 23, 20265 min readWhat the past tells us: every major oil shock has hurt the S&P 500
The IEA warns of the worst energy crisis in decades, JPMorgan cuts its S&P 500 target to 7,200, and history shows every major oil shock since 1973 has led the market into bear territory.
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From the blog
Long-form blogs on investing frameworks, market history, and durable returns.
BlogJune 3, 20265 min readBeyond the PE Ratio: Three Cash Flow Metrics That Serious Investors Actually Use
PE measures reported earnings that can be legally stretched. Free Cash Flow is harder to fake. Here are three FCF-based metrics — growth, per share, and yield — that serious investors rely on.
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BlogMay 26, 20264 min readGeopolitical Crises, Wars, and Panic Selling: 100 Years of Data Shows the S&P 500 Survives Everything
100 years of S&P 500 data shows the market survives every geopolitical crisis — from Pearl Harbor to 9/11 to the Iran war. Here's what the numbers say about staying invested.
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